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Short Trade on NEAR

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03 Nov 2026 at 21:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 56.35 NEAR at 3.794$ per unit. Take profit: 3.6989 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 3.9357 (3.74 %)

NEAR SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 03 Nov 2026 21:15 → 22:00 · 44 minutes

Position

Entry 3.7937$

Qty 56.3528 NEAR

Size 213.7856$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 3.6989 (+2.5%)

TP $ 5.34$

SL 3.9357 (-3.74%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.67

Status win PnL +2.50% / +5.34$ MAE -7.24% MFE +2.63% 0.7R expires 04 Nov 03:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 244114)
#58 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 03/11/2026 21:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0897

Quality Score
0.374
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#58 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#58 / 60
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.96×ATR
4h near 0.27×ATR
1d clear 3.12×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc_leading
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
deteriorating
OK
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
WOULD TRADE
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
bearish
OK
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-2.60
OK
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
WOULD TRADE
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
109.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
03/11 21:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

02/11 19:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

03/11 15:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

03/11 20:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #7776
Voir snapshot →
bear developing bear_expansion
Strategic bear

0.55

expansion

+2

Operational bear

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

transition

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 0.57
Transition risk : 0.43
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 8.9%
Macro alt_capitulation
Local 4h bearish Leadership btc_leading
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state deteriorating
Δ 15m
→+0.000
Δ 1h
▼-0.054
Δ 4h
▼-0.667
Δ 12h
▼-0.752
Δ 24h
▼-0.085

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 84.4%
1h 4.4%
4h 2.2%
24h 51.1%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 71.1% +0.17%
4h 13.3% -2.60%
24h 55.6% +0.02%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
0.0%
Down ≥1σ
48.9%
Expansion
48.9%
Tail ↑
+0.48
Tail ↓
+0.82
Dispersion : 0.124
Universe : 45 (0 vs prev) · ≥ $2.0M
+0 added · -0 removed
Regime confidence : 0.74
Snapshot évalué : 03/11 21:01 · env bear_trend

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 03/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.2541
Score SMA
0.3137
Rank
#54 / 58
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0702
Rank Norm SMA
0.3794
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2541 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.82% · r3d: -13.50% · ema21_slope: -0.7569% · dist_ema21: -14.650%
Force Relative 25% 0.2329 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.64% · rs_3d: -13.37% · beta_24h: 3.232
Volume 20% 0.1691 rvol_20: 0.62× · zscore_50: -1.101 · trend: -32.22%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5719 ADX: 23.5 (weak) · Chop: 53.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 11.801% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.3736
Score SMA
0.4957
Rank
#58 / 60
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0897
Rank Norm SMA
0.4221
Calculé le
03/11/2026 21:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2747 r1h: -1.397% · r4h: -2.792% · r1d: -1.58% · r3d: -15.46% · ema21_slope: -0.0782% · dist_ema21: -1.948%
Force Relative 25% 0.2781 rs_1h: -1.127% · rs_4h: -1.679% · rs_1d: -1.47% · rs_3d: -14.60% · beta_24h: 1.728
Volume 20% 0.3684 rvol_20: 1.11× · zscore_50: -0.043 · trend: 5.24%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5267 ADX: 19.7 (weak) · Chop: 55.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.557% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 03/11/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.3912
Score SMA
0.4268
Rank
#56 / 59
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0862
Rank Norm SMA
0.2744
Calculé le
03/11/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2277 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.170% · r1d: -0.82% · r3d: -13.50% · ema21_slope: -0.6084% · dist_ema21: -5.429%
Force Relative 25% 0.2890 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.370% · rs_1d: -1.64% · rs_3d: -13.37% · beta_24h: 2.476
Volume 20% 0.2937 rvol_20: 0.95× · zscore_50: -0.341 · trend: -16.13%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6725 ADX: 24.4 (weak) · Chop: 42.0 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.9102 ATR%: 3.270% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.743% (0.1420)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.633% 0.7R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +2.633% 0.7R -1.107% 0.3R 2.4× 24
4h +2.633% 0.7R -4.073% 1.1R 0.7× 48
6h ★ +2.633% 0.7R -7.236% 1.9R 0.4× 72
8h +2.633% 0.7R -8.032% 2.2R 0.3× 96
12h +2.633% 0.7R -8.970% 2.4R 0.3× 144
24h +2.633% 0.7R -12.695% 3.4R 0.2× 288
48h +4.444% 1.2R -12.695% 3.4R 0.4× 576
72h +4.444% 1.2R -12.695% 3.4R 0.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 44 min MAE in 774 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.32
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
50%
noisy_chop 39% mid — — 0.51 range_high -0.41% -0.95 02/11 19:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 47% late near 0.3ATR — 0.54 bear_high -2.83% -0.91 03/11 15:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading expansion_after_compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 38% mid near -1.0ATR — 0.68 bear_medium -0.95% -0.05 03/11 20:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 42% mid near -0.3ATR — 0.67 range_low -0.48% -0.06 03/11 20:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#497923
 ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.643 compression bull_high
50%
noisy_chop 39% mid 22b -1.6ATR — — 0.62 72% ↓ -0.40 below_value -8.53 — #233837 0.51 range_high -0.41% -0.95
02/11 19:00
upd 03/11 19:20
4h
#497804
 ↓ down range range moderate grind 0.490 compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 47% late 19b -1.8ATR near 0.3ATR — 0.95 27% ↑ +0.37 below_value -8.53 — #233837 0.54 bear_high -2.83% -0.91
03/11 15:00
upd 03/11 19:13
1h anchor
#498515
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.752 expansion_after_compression bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 38% mid 4b -1.2ATR near -1.0ATR — 1.11 63% ↔ +0.02 below_value -9.11 inside #234136 0.68 bear_medium -0.95% -0.05
03/11 20:00
upd 03/11 21:11
15m
#498454
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.298 volatile_reversal bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 42% mid 4b -1.3ATR near -0.3ATR — 0.59 42% ↑ +0.29 below_value -8.52 — #234015 0.67 range_low -0.48% -0.06
03/11 20:45
upd 03/11 21:02
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 22b — 4.819×ATR p64 -1.601×ATR p74
4h ↓ down late 19b — 5.823×ATR p89 -1.816×ATR p83
1h ↓ down mid 4b — 2.115×ATR p40 -1.242×ATR p66
15m ↓ down mid 4b — 2.1×ATR p24 -1.288×ATR p63

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 3.9356628
  2. tp_price: 3.6988575
  3. atr: 0.05678512
  4. expires_at: 2026-11-04T08:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 58
  2. total: 60
  3. score: 0.2643
  4. delta_2h: -0.0991
  5. extension_atr: -0.89
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0918
  9. confidence: 0.966

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.7937 3.9357 3.6989 0.67 3.1859
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.7937
  • Stop Loss: 3.9357
  • Take Profit: 3.6989

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.9357 - 3.7937 = 0.142

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.7937 - 3.6989 = 0.0948

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0948 / 0.142 = 0.6676

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
213.7856 100 56.3528 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.142

Taille de position = 8 / 0.142 = 56.34

Taille de position USD = 56.34 x 3.7937 = 213.74

Donc, tu peux acheter 56.34 avec un stoploss a 3.9357

Avec un position size USD de 213.74$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 56.34 x 0.142 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 56.34 x 0.0948 = 5.34

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.34$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 56.34
  • Taille de position USD 213.74
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 5.34
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6676

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 5.34 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.74 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
5.34 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.7937 3.9357 3.6989 0.67 3.1859
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.7937
  • Stop Loss: 3.9357
  • Take Profit: 3.6989

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 3.9357 - 3.7937 = 0.142

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.7937 - 3.6989 = 0.0948

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0948 / 0.142 = 0.6676

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.5097
            [stop_loss] => 3.9357
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:50:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.4387
            [stop_loss] => 3.9357
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:50:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.3677
            [stop_loss] => 3.9357
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:50:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.2967
            [stop_loss] => 3.9357
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:50:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.2257
            [stop_loss] => 3.9357
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:50:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.1547
            [stop_loss] => 3.9357
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:50:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.0837
            [stop_loss] => 3.9357
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:50:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 3.0127
            [stop_loss] => 3.9357
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:50:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.9417
            [stop_loss] => 3.9357
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:50:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.8707
            [stop_loss] => 3.9357
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:50:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 2.7997
            [stop_loss] => 3.9357
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-11-04 05:50:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.743% (0.1420)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.633% 0.7R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +2.633% 0.7R -1.107% 0.3R 2.4× 24
4h +2.633% 0.7R -4.073% 1.1R 0.7× 48
6h ★ +2.633% 0.7R -7.236% 1.9R 0.4× 72
8h +2.633% 0.7R -8.032% 2.2R 0.3× 96
12h +2.633% 0.7R -8.970% 2.4R 0.3× 144
24h +2.633% 0.7R -12.695% 3.4R 0.2× 288
48h +4.444% 1.2R -12.695% 3.4R 0.4× 576
72h +4.444% 1.2R -12.695% 3.4R 0.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 44 min MAE in 774 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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