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Short Trade on FARTCOIN

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29 Jul 2026 at 16:11:28 hyperliquid

Short Trade on FARTCOIN (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 2389.04 FARTCOIN at 0.12$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1112 (7.02 %) & Stop Loss: 0.123 (2.84 %)

FARTCOIN SHORT BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 29 Jul 2026 16:11 → 21:45 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.1196$

Qty 2389.0438 FARTCOIN

Size 285.7535$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1112 (+7.02%)

TP $ 20.07$

SL 0.123 (-2.84%)

SL $ 8.12$

RR 2.47

Status loss PnL -2.84% / -8.12$ MAE -3.20% MFE +1.46% 0.5R expires 30 Jul 04:11

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 52654)
#36 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/07/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3719

Quality Score
0.456
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#36 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#36 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.16×ATR
4h clear 1.01×ATR
1d near -0.53×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
5.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/07 16:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

28/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

29/07 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

29/07 15:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1148
Voir snapshot →
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

—

range

0

Operational bear

—

expansion

+1

Tactical range

—

range

0

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.70
Transition risk : 0.30
Score contribution (this trade) +1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.57
Snapshot évalué : 29/07 16:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 29/07/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4561
Score SMA
0.4800
Rank
#36 / 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3719
Rank Norm SMA
0.3775
Calculé le
29/07/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3449 r1h: -3.525% · r4h: -1.206% · r1d: -4.40% · r3d: -7.22% · ema21_slope: -0.0864% · dist_ema21: -2.219%
Force Relative 25% 0.2664 rs_1h: -2.566% · rs_4h: -1.070% · rs_1d: -4.37% · rs_3d: -5.96% · beta_24h: 2.070
Volume 20% 0.4921 rvol_20: 1.65× · zscore_50: 0.293 · trend: 15.89%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5838 ADX: 30.4 (trend) · Chop: 59.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.617% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.843% (0.0034)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.463% 0.5R -0.694% 0.2R 2.1× 12
2h +1.463% 0.5R -1.388% 0.5R 1.1× 24
4h +1.463% 0.5R -2.132% 0.8R 0.7× 48
8h +1.463% 0.5R -3.202% 1.1R 0.5× 96
12h ★ +1.463% 0.5R -3.202% 1.1R 0.5× 144
24h +1.463% 0.5R -4.507% 1.6R 0.3× 288

computed 3 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.23
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 40% mid near -0.5ATR — 0.63 bear_high -4.75% -0.96 28/07 20:00
4h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 38% early — — 0.69 range_high -0.06% -0.32 29/07 12:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 41% early near -1.2ATR near 0.5ATR 0.69 range_medium -0.65% -0.20 29/07 15:00
15m ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 44% late near -2.2ATR — 0.73 range_medium -0.36% -0.11 29/07 15:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 26b — 5.606×ATR p75 -0.601×ATR p60
4h ↓ down early 13b — 3.291×ATR p39 +0.009×ATR p1
1h ↓ down early 1b — 1.752×ATR p17 -0.511×ATR p56
15m ↑ up late 5b — 0×ATR p0 -1.408×ATR p90

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.8236
  3. reason: down_bo width=2.66×ATR dur=44b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.12295862
  5. tp_price: 0.11123845
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.82357831140084
  8. expires_at: 2026-07-30T08:11:21.229180
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.82357831140084
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
    5. ¸
  5. market_structures
    6. ¸
  6. market_structure_v2
    7. ¸
  7. trend_analyzer_1h
    8. ¸
  8. orderbook_context
  9. obi_top5 : 0.0625
  10. obi_top10 : 0.0453
  11. micro_price : 0.1193165
  12. spread_pct : 0.167785
  13. mid_price : 0.1193
  14. bid_wall_price : 0.118
  15. bid_wall_size : 1874817.92
  16. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  17. ask_wall_price : 0.12
  18. ask_wall_size : 2078563.14
  19. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  20. snapshots_count : 5
  21. obi_top5_mean : 0.0642
  22. obi_top5_std : 0.0033
  23. pressure_side : neutral
  24. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  25. collection_ms : 6915
  26. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  27. error :
    28. ¸
  28. strategy_details
  29. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  30. strategy_details
  31. balance_zone_top: 
    0.125345
  32. balance_zone_bottom: 
    0.120185
  33. balance_zone_mid: 
    0.122765
  34. balance_zone_start_time: 
    1785200400
  35. balance_zone_end_time: 
    1785355200
  36. balance_zone_width_atr: 
    2.665
  37. balance_zone_duration_bars: 
    44
  38. balance_zone_quality: tight
  39. balance_zone_maturity: established
  40. balance_zone_confidence: 
    0.8236
  41. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  42. balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
  43. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  44. balance_zone_breakout_time: 
    1785351600
  45. balance_zone_breakout_price: 
    0.120185
  46. strategy_details
  47. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio: 
    0.9091
  48. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout: 
    1
  49. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr: 
    0.297
  50. balance_metrics_has_retested: 
    1
  51. balance_metrics_retest_count: 
    1
  52. balance_metrics_touch_upper: 
    10
  53. balance_metrics_touch_lower: 
    5
  54. regime : bear_high
  55. atr_entry : 0.00193621
    56. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
44
inside_close_ratio
0.9091
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.297

Signaux confirmants (14)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 16:11 0.11961000 +0.008%
2 16:41 0.11943000 -0.142%
3 16:48 0.11955000 -0.042%
4 16:54 0.11955000 -0.042%
5 17:00 0.11955000 -0.042%
6 17:08 0.11825000 -1.129%
7 17:15 0.11825000 -1.129%
8 17:22 0.11875000 -0.711%
9 17:29 0.11875000 -0.711%
10 17:37 0.11944000 -0.134%
11 17:43 0.11944000 -0.134%
12 17:50 0.11988000 +0.234%
13 17:56 0.11988000 +0.234%
14 18:03 0.11988000 +0.234%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6915ms Confidence avant OB : 82% → 82%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.063
avg 0.064 ± 0.003
OBI Top 10 0.045

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.1193
Micro Price
0.1193
Spread
0.1678%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.1180
Size
1,874,817.92

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.1200
Size
2,078,563.14

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1196 0.123 0.1112 2.47 0.1046
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1196
  • Stop Loss: 0.123
  • Take Profit: 0.1112

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.123 - 0.1196 = 0.0034

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1196 - 0.1112 = 0.0084

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0084 / 0.0034 = 2.4706

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
285.7535 100 2389.0438 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0034

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0034 = 2352.94

Taille de position USD = 2352.94 x 0.1196 = 281.41

Donc, tu peux acheter 2352.94 avec un stoploss a 0.123

Avec un position size USD de 281.41$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2352.94 x 0.0034 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2352.94 x 0.0084 = 19.76

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.76$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2352.94
  • Taille de position USD 281.41
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.76
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4706

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
7.02 % 20.07 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.84 % 8.12 $
PNL PNL %
-8.12 $ -2.84
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.8679 % 100.88 % 5
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1196 0.123 0.1112 2.47 0.1046
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1196
  • Stop Loss: 0.123
  • Take Profit: 0.1112

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.123 - 0.1196 = 0.0034

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1196 - 0.1112 = 0.0084

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0084 / 0.0034 = 2.4706

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1112
            [entry_price] => 0.1196
            [stop_loss] => 0.12334
            [rr_ratio] => 2.25
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-07-30 01:50:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.843% (0.0034)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.463% 0.5R -0.694% 0.2R 2.1× 12
2h +1.463% 0.5R -1.388% 0.5R 1.1× 24
4h +1.463% 0.5R -2.132% 0.8R 0.7× 48
8h +1.463% 0.5R -3.202% 1.1R 0.5× 96
12h ★ +1.463% 0.5R -3.202% 1.1R 0.5× 144
24h +1.463% 0.5R -4.507% 1.6R 0.3× 288

computed 3 months ago

Commentaires

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