Long Trade on KAITO (CatchTheWave)
With 507.42 KAITO at 1.221$ per unit. Take profit: 1.2528 (2.58 %) & Stop Loss: 1.2055 (1.29 %)
Long Trade on KAITO (CatchTheWave)
With 507.42 KAITO at 1.221$ per unit. Take profit: 1.2528 (2.58 %) & Stop Loss: 1.2055 (1.29 %)
Position
Entry 1.2213$
Qty 507.4217 KAITO
Size 619.7141$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 1.2528 (+2.58%)
TP $ 15.98$
SL 1.2055 (-1.29%)
SL $ 8.02$
RR 1.99
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9576
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 0.58×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 29/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 29/07 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.19585 15m : 0.082161 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bear_high |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6199 | r1h: -0.646% · r4h: -4.678% · r1d: 1.15% · r3d: 6.23% · ema21_slope: 0.2987% · dist_ema21: -2.058% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4772 | rs_1h: -0.207% · rs_4h: -4.968% · rs_1d: 1.54% · rs_3d: 8.41% · beta_24h: -0.349 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2569 | rvol_20: 0.55× · zscore_50: -0.348 · trend: 3.82% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6290 | ADX: 25.1 (trend) · Chop: 48.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.901% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.032% | 0.8R | -0.811% | 0.6R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.032% | 0.8R | -2.301% | 1.8R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.032% | 0.8R | -3.374% | 2.6R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.032% | 0.8R | -5.854% | 4.5R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.032% | 0.8R | -19.232% | 14.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.44 | bear_high | -5.16% | +1.00 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.08 | bear_high | -0.74% | +0.59 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -0.8ATR | — | -0.06 | bear_medium | -0.82% | -0.05 | 29/07 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | near -1.2ATR | — | 0.06 | range_low | -0.05% | -0.57 | 29/07 21:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 19b | — | 5.581×ATR | p74 | +1.004×ATR | p80 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.162×ATR | p8 | -0.15×ATR | p19 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 3.757×ATR | p74 | -0.949×ATR | p76 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 34b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | -0.749×ATR | p54 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63837
0.00321057
64042
0.19585
63992.9
-0.000686208
63949
0.082161
64170.7
-0.00354885
63943
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1.3731
191
0.5019
0.574
0.2633
0.1827
0.3292
1
0.2998
0.4858
0.6244
0.507
0.5149
0.7032
-0.039
0.0265
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-0.0064
0.5
0.5
1
8
1
0.6346
0.4034
5.5597
0.55
1.9356
4.7383
-0.0064
0.5698
0.2854
0.46
0.0465
0.4074
0.4325
0.6386
0.7032
-3.7066
8.7804
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:44 | 1.22130000 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:55 | 1.21900000 | -0.188% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 1.3704 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 18:10:00 | 1.3364 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:45:00 | 1.3251 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 19:40:00 | 1.3593 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 1.2985 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 21:25:00 | 1.3162 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 23:10:00 | 1.2643 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 23:30:00 | 1.2828 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 00:10:00 | 1.2907 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 01:40:00 | 1.2201 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 06:00:00 | 1.1987 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 08:45:00 | 1.2484 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 10:00:00 | 1.2263 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 10:30:00 | 1.2777 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 11:30:00 | 1.2352 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 12:30:00 | 1.2765 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 13:15:00 | 1.2415 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 17:30:00 | 1.3731 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 00:00:00 | 1.2907 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 01:30:00 | 1.233 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 04:00:00 | 0.99152 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-26 13:00:00 | 1.227 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 06:00:00 | 1.2523 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 10:00:00 | 1.1246 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-27 22:00:00 | 1.3581 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 18:00:00 | 1.0861 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 03:00:00 | 1.2888 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 06:00:00 | 1.1987 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 17:00:00 | 1.3731 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 01:00:00 | 1.233 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2213 | 1.2055 | 1.2528 | 1.99 | 0.2042 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.2055 - 1.2213 = -0.0158
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2213 - 1.2528 = -0.0315
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0315 / -0.0158 = 1.9937
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 619.7141 | 100 | 507.4217 | 6.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0158 = -506.33
Taille de position USD = -506.33 x 1.2213 = -618.38
Donc, tu peux acheter -506.33 avec un stoploss a 1.2055
Avec un position size USD de -618.38$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -506.33 x -0.0158 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -506.33 x -0.0315 = 15.95
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.95$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.58 % | 15.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.29 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -1.29 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5721 % | 121.52 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.2213 | 1.2055 | 1.2528 | 1.99 | 0.2042 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.2055 - 1.2213 = -0.0158
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.2213 - 1.2528 = -0.0315
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0315 / -0.0158 = 1.9937
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.032% | 0.8R | -0.811% | 0.6R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.032% | 0.8R | -2.301% | 1.8R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.032% | 0.8R | -3.374% | 2.6R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.032% | 0.8R | -5.854% | 4.5R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.032% | 0.8R | -19.232% | 14.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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