Short Trade on ONDO

Previous Trade Next Trade

31 Jul 2026 at 09:50:58 hyperliquid

Short Trade on ONDO (BosPullback)

With 1299.11 ONDO at 0.402$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3863 (3.83 %) & Stop Loss: 0.4079 (1.54 %)

ONDO SHORT BosPullback hyperliquid 31 Jul 2026 09:50 → 01:50 · 15 hours

Position

Entry 0.4017$

Qty 1299.1147 ONDO

Size 521.8933$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)

Risk Setup

TP 0.3863 (+3.83%)

TP $ 20.01$

SL 0.4079 (-1.54%)

SL $ 8.05$

RR 2.48

Status win PnL +3.83% / +20.01$ MAE -0.68% MFE +1.82% 1.2R

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 54556)

#38 / 45 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 09:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3281

Quality Score

0.452

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#38 / 45 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

72 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-3 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

1.54 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#38 / 45 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

72 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-3 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

1.54 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	0.95×ATR
4h	near	-0.06×ATR
1d	clear	5.15×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

7.6M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 09:46

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 31/07 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/07 09:00 Score : -4 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

30/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

31/07 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

31/07 09:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime
	1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 31/07/2026 09:00

Score brut

0.4523

Score SMA

0.5319

Rank

#38 / 45

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3281

Rank Norm SMA

0.5978

Calculé le

31/07/2026 09:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4163	r1h: -0.246% · r4h: -0.980% · r1d: -5.16% · r3d: 0.99% · ema21_slope: -0.1409% · dist_ema21: -1.596%
Force Relative	25%	0.4506	rs_1h: -0.033% · rs_4h: -0.712% · rs_1d: -3.22% · rs_3d: 0.84% · beta_24h: 1.376
Volume	20%	0.1442	rvol_20: 0.34× · zscore_50: -0.837 · trend: -66.73%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5728	ADX: 23.6 (weak) · Chop: 53.5 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.271% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BosPullback (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -1.543% (0.0062)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.379%	0.9R	-0.682%	0.4R	2.0×	12
2h	+1.379%	0.9R	-0.682%	0.4R	2.0×	24
4h ★	+1.820%	1.2R	-0.682%	0.4R	2.7×	48
8h	+2.611%	1.7R	-0.682%	0.4R	3.8×	96
12h	+3.313%	2.2R	-0.682%	0.4R	4.9×	144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 3.62

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 39%	early	—	—	0.65	bear_high	-5.56%	+0.97	30/07 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 37%	early	near -0.1ATR	near -0.8ATR	0.59	bear_high	-0.91%	+0.31	31/07 08:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 40%	mid	—	—	0.60	bear_medium	-1.29%	-0.22	31/07 09:00
15m	↓ down	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bear_medium	57%	noisy_chop 41%	early	near -0.3ATR	—	—	bear_low_confirmed	-1.16%	-0.01	31/07 09:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	37b	—	4.19×ATR	p47	+0.112×ATR	p14
4h	↓ down	early	6b	—	2.028×ATR	p0	-0.256×ATR	p26
1h	↓ down	mid	3b	—	1.137×ATR	p2	-0.665×ATR	p65
15m	↑ up	early	4b	—	1.505×ATR	p0	-0.392×ATR	p27

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BosPullback - SELL

Indicators:

long_trend: -1
confidence: 0.72
reason: bos_pullback_short|score=1|shallow|bars_since_bos=4|retests=0|break_atr=1.63|prog=0.73|zone=invalid
stop_price: 0.40788804
tp_price: 0.38633489
atr:
score: 0.72
confidence_pre_ob: 0.72

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
timeframe : 1h
state : impulse_down
confidence : 1
trend_strength : -0.0755
trend_persistence : 0.5
high_delta_atr : -3.3602
low_delta_atr : -2.3968
current_swing_amp_atr : 1.5169
current_swing_speed : 1.51694
current_swing_efficiency : 0.747
retracement_ratio : 0.3177
extension_ratio : 0.6189
compression_score : 1.0311
swing_entropy : 1
breakout_strength : -4.4969
distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.1368
distance_to_last_low_atr : 0.4277
pivot_count : 32
swing_count : 31
market_structure_v2
last_pivot_kind: high
last_pivot_price:
```
0.40746
```
last_pivot_index:
```
146
```
trend_analyzer_1h
direction : down
phase : transition
structure : bearish_transition
breakout_state : fresh_breakout
quality : volatile
strength : strong
exhaustion : medium
momentum_type : grind
volatility_regime : compression
htf_context : unknown
risk_state : mid_range
confidence : 0.641
state : down_bearish_transition_grind
trend_analyzer_1h
scores_direction_score:
```
0.2665
```
scores_strength_score:
```
0.7707
```
scores_quality_score:
```
0.3975
```
scores_cleanliness_score:
```
0.2082
```
scores_structural_quality:
```
0.5525
```
scores_pullback_score:
```
0.3177
```
scores_exhaustion_score:
```
0.4558
```
scores_continuation_score:
```
0.5699
```
scores_structure_score:
```
0.3018
```
scores_volatility_expansion:
```
0.024
```
scores_momentum_type_score:
```
0.6359
```
scores_risk_score:
```
0.3981
```
trend_analyzer_1h
features_ema20_slope:
```
-0.1142
```
features_ema50_slope:
```
-0.0412
```
features_ema_alignment_score:
```
0
```
features_price_vs_ema20:
```
-1.2536
```
features_price_vs_ema50:
```
-1.3155
```
features_recent_hh_hl_score:
```
0.35
```
features_recent_lh_ll_score:
```
0.65
```
features_last_bos_direction:
```
-1
```
features_bars_since_last_bos:
```
4
```
features_candle_overlap_ratio:
```
1
```
features_wick_ratio:
```
0.5837
```
features_trend_efficiency:
```
0.747
```
features_impulse_strength:
```
4.738
```
features_directional_candle_ratio:
```
0.7
```
features_pullback_depth_ratio:
```
0.3177
```
features_pullback_depth_atr:
```
1.5053
```
features_extension_from_mean:
```
-1.3155
```
features_impulse_decay_score:
```
0.6906
```
features_opposing_wick_pressure:
```
0.2577
```
features_volatility_percentile:
```
0.04
```
features_volatility_delta:
```
-0.3955
```
features_body_ratio:
```
0.3421
```
features_closes_position_ratio:
```
0.364
```
features_slope_consistency:
```
0.9395
```
features_range_position:
```
0.3981
```
features_distance_to_recent_high:
```
-5.6343
```
features_distance_to_recent_low:
```
3.7262
```
features_had_recent_range:
```
1
```
features_had_recent_compression:
```
0
```
features_post_break_hl_count:
```
1
```
features_htf_trend_strength:
features_htf_compression_score:
features_htf_entropy_score:
features_htf_hh_hl_score:
features_htf_state_str:
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : 0.0098
obi_top10 : 0.1014
micro_price : 0.40091218
spread_pct : 0.024944
mid_price : 0.40095
bid_wall_price : 0.392
bid_wall_size : 1251826.2
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price :
ask_wall_size :
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : -0.039
obi_top5_std : 0.0476
pressure_side : neutral
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 6976
aggregation_tick : 0.001
error :
strategy_details
strategy : bos_pullback
ms_state_1h : impulse_down
strategy_details

pivots_1h_0:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-27 10:00:00
    [price] => 0.4182
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_1:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-27 13:00:00
    [price] => 0.41806
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_2:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-27 14:00:00
    [price] => 0.39557
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_3:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-27 17:00:00
    [price] => 0.41265
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_4:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-28 10:00:00
    [price] => 0.38416
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_5:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-28 16:00:00
    [price] => 0.41394
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_6:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-28 18:00:00
    [price] => 0.40031
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_7:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-28 21:00:00
    [price] => 0.41172
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_8:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-29 04:00:00
    [price] => 0.3922
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_9:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-29 09:00:00
    [price] => 0.40914
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_10:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-29 16:00:00
    [price] => 0.39087
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_11:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-29 19:00:00
    [price] => 0.41172
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_12:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-29 20:00:00
    [price] => 0.39099
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_13:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-30 02:00:00
    [price] => 0.41125
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_14:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-30 04:00:00
    [price] => 0.4
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_15:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-30 12:00:00
    [price] => 0.42787
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_16:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-30 16:00:00
    [price] => 0.41178
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_17:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-30 19:00:00
    [price] => 0.4249
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_18:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-31 09:00:00
    [price] => 0.39934
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_19:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-31 10:00:00
    [price] => 0.40746
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

strategy_details

pivots_15m_0:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-30 13:45:00
    [price] => 0.42573
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_1:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-30 16:45:00
    [price] => 0.41178
    [kind] => low
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_2:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-30 19:15:00
    [price] => 0.4249
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_3:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-31 00:15:00
    [price] => 0.41281
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_4:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-31 01:00:00
    [price] => 0.41912
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_5:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-31 07:15:00
    [price] => 0.40098
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_15m_6:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-31 08:15:00
    [price] => 0.4058
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_7:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-31 09:30:00
    [price] => 0.39934
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_15m_8:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-31 10:15:00
    [price] => 0.40746
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_15m_9:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-31 12:30:00
    [price] => 0.39923
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_10:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-31 13:30:00
    [price] => 0.40545
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

bos_level_long : 0
bos_level_short : 0.41178
strategy_details
levels_hl_price:
```
0.39934
```
levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-07-31 09:00:00
levels_hh_price:
```
0.40746
```
levels_lh_price:
```
0.40746
```
levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-07-31 10:00:00
levels_ll_price:
```
0.39934
```
strategy_details
demand_zone_top:
```
0.39663
```
demand_zone_bottom:
```
0.39087
```
demand_zone_mid:
```
0.39375
```
demand_zone_freshness: tested
demand_zone_strength:
```
0.837
```
supply_zone :
regimes
1H : bear_high
15m : bear_medium

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	09:50	0.40173000	+0.007%
2	09:56	0.40173000	+0.007%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ impulse_down

Confidence 100%

Trend

Trend Strength

-0.076

Persistence

0.500

High Δ ATR

-3.360

Low Δ ATR

-2.397

Current Swing

Amp ATR

1.517

Speed

1.517

Efficiency

0.747

Structure

Retracement

0.318

Extension

0.619

Compression

1.031

Entropy

1.000

Breakout Str.

-4.497

Dist High ATR

-1.137

Dist Low ATR

0.428

32 pivots · 31 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 0.4075 @ bar 146

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_grind

Confidence 64%

Context

phase transition

structure bearish_transition

breakout fresh_breakout

quality volatile

strength strong

exhaustion medium

momentum grind

volatility compression

risk mid_range

htf unknown

Scores

0.267

0.771

0.398

0.208

0.553

0.318

0.456

0.570

0.302

0.024

0.636

0.398

Features

Ema20 Slope

-0.114

Ema50 Slope

-0.041

Ema Alignment Score

0.000

Price Vs Ema20

-1.254

Price Vs Ema50

-1.316

Recent Hh Hl Score

0.350

Recent Lh Ll Score

0.650

Last Bos Direction

-1.000

Bars Since Last Bos

4.000

Candle Overlap Ratio

1.000

Wick Ratio

0.584

Trend Efficiency

0.747

Impulse Strength

4.738

Directional Candle Ratio

0.700

Pullback Depth Ratio

0.318

Pullback Depth Atr

1.505

Extension From Mean

-1.316

Impulse Decay Score

0.691

Opposing Wick Pressure

0.258

Volatility Percentile

0.040

Volatility Delta

-0.396

Body Ratio

0.342

Closes Position Ratio

0.364

Slope Consistency

0.940

Range Position

0.398

Distance To Recent High

-5.634

Distance To Recent Low

3.726

Had Recent Range

1.000

Had Recent Compression

0.000

Post Break Hl Count

1.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6976ms Confidence avant OB : 72% → 72%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.010

avg -0.039 ± 0.048

OBI Top 10 0.101

Microstructure

Mid Price

0.4010

Micro Price

0.4009

Spread

0.0249%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price

0.3920

Size

1,251,826.20

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.4017	0.4079	0.3863	2.48	0.4109

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.4017
Stop Loss: 0.4079
Take Profit: 0.3863

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.4079 - 0.4017 = 0.0062
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.4017 - 0.3863 = 0.0154
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0154 / 0.0062 = 2.4839

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
521.8933	100	1299.1147	5.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0062

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0062 = 1290.32

Taille de position USD = 1290.32 x 0.4017 = 518.32

Donc, tu peux acheter 1290.32 avec un stoploss a 0.4079

Avec un position size USD de 518.32$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1290.32 x 0.0062 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1290.32 x 0.0154 = 19.87

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.87$

Résumé

Taille de position 1290.32
Taille de position USD 518.32
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 19.87
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4839

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
3.83 %	20.01 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
1.54 %	8.05 $

PNL	PNL %
20.01 $	3.83

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.6821 %	44.19 %	5

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.4017	0.4079	0.3863	2.48	0.4109

Details

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Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.4017
Stop Loss: 0.4079
Take Profit: 0.3863

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.4079 - 0.4017 = 0.0062
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.4017 - 0.3863 = 0.0154
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0154 / 0.0062 = 2.4839

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BosPullback (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -1.543% (0.0062)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.379%	0.9R	-0.682%	0.4R	2.0×	12
2h	+1.379%	0.9R	-0.682%	0.4R	2.0×	24
4h ★	+1.820%	1.2R	-0.682%	0.4R	2.7×	48
8h	+2.611%	1.7R	-0.682%	0.4R	3.8×	96
12h	+3.313%	2.2R	-0.682%	0.4R	4.9×	144

computed 2 months ago

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