Short Trade on KAITO

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31 Jul 2026 at 12:10:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 98.04 KAITO at 1.099$ per unit. Take profit: 1.0715 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1806 (7.42 %)

KAITO SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 31 Jul 2026 12:10 → 13:15 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 1.099$

Qty 98.0366 KAITO

Size 107.7422$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 1.0715 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.7$

SL 1.1806 (-7.42%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.34

Status loss PnL -1.27% / -1.37$ MAE -3.00% MFE +0.07% 0.0R expires 31 Jul 13:20 Exit rank_decay: short rank=2 <= threshold=36/46

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 54696)

#39 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 12:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2494

Quality Score

0.455

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#39 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

88 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-3 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

7.42 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#39 / 44 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

88 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-3 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

7.42 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.94×ATR
4h	clear	1.31×ATR
1d	clear	2.83×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	early	OK
4h	↑ up	early	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

+1 OK

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

N/A

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

8.3M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 12:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 31/07 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/07 11:00 Score : -4 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

30/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

31/07 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

31/07 11:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1192

range ranging range_bound

Strategic	range —	range 0
Operational	range —	range 0
Tactical	bear —	expansion +1
Micro	— —

MTF alignment : 0.65

Stability : 0.63

Transition risk : 0.37

Score contribution (this trade) +1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.78

Snapshot évalué : 31/07 12:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 31/07/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.4546

Score SMA

0.4179

Rank

#39 / 44

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2494

Rank Norm SMA

0.1240

Calculé le

31/07/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3463	r1h: -0.756% · r4h: -1.053% · r1d: -3.40% · r3d: -3.59% · ema21_slope: -0.1024% · dist_ema21: -2.143%
Force Relative	25%	0.4558	rs_1h: -0.872% · rs_4h: 0.560% · rs_1d: -0.39% · rs_3d: -1.76% · beta_24h: -1.677
Volume	20%	0.2655	rvol_20: 0.35× · zscore_50: -0.590 · trend: 28.66%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5807	ADX: 27.6 (trend) · Chop: 56.6 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.9659	ATR%: 3.102% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 1.2h) Initial Risk: -7.425% (0.0816)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.073%	0.0R	-3.003%	0.4R	0.0×	12
1.2h ★	+0.073%	0.0R	-3.003%	0.4R	0.0×	13
2h	+0.073%	0.0R	-3.003%	0.4R	0.0×	24
4h	+2.584%	0.4R	-3.003%	0.4R	0.9×	48
8h	+4.486%	0.6R	-3.003%	0.4R	1.5×	96
12h	+4.486%	0.6R	-3.003%	0.4R	1.5×	144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60

ML Pullback Score: 0.62

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	61%	noisy_chop 37%	early	—	—	0.44	bear_high	-5.56%	+1.00	30/07 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	expansion	bull_high	52%	noisy_chop 39%	early	—	—	0.05	bear_high_confirmed	-2.54%	-0.76	31/07 08:00
1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 35%	early	near -0.9ATR	near 0.0ATR	-0.07	bear_medium_confirmed	-2.28%	+0.41	31/07 11:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 36%	early	near 0.0ATR	—	-0.03	bear_low	-1.90%	-0.00	31/07 11:45
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	2b	—	2.069×ATR	p0	-0.124×ATR	p10
4h	↑ up	early	6b	—	1.36×ATR	p0	-0.403×ATR	p43
1h	↓ down	early	9b	—	2.517×ATR	p42	-0.309×ATR	p36
15m	↓ down	early	4b	—	1.71×ATR	p10	-0.162×ATR	p16

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 1.1806022
tp_price: 1.071525
atr: 0.03264088
expires_at: 2026-07-31T22:10:05+00:00

Details

rank: 39
total: 44
score: 0.3463
delta_2h: -0.0561
extension_atr: -0.37
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2494
confidence: 0.884

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
1.099	1.1806	1.0715	0.34	0.2395

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 1.099
Stop Loss: 1.1806
Take Profit: 1.0715

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 1.1806 - 1.099 = 0.0816
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 1.099 - 1.0715 = 0.0275
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0275 / 0.0816 = 0.337

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
107.7422	100	98.0366	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0816

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0816 = 98.04

Taille de position USD = 98.04 x 1.099 = 107.75

Donc, tu peux acheter 98.04 avec un stoploss a 1.1806

Avec un position size USD de 107.75$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 98.04 x 0.0816 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 98.04 x 0.0275 = 2.7

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.7$

Résumé

Taille de position 98.04
Taille de position USD 107.75
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 2.7
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.337

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	2.7 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
7.42 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-1.37 $	-1.27

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-3.0027 %	40.44 %	1

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
1.099	1.1806	1.0715	0.34	0.2395

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 1.099
Stop Loss: 1.1806
Take Profit: 1.0715

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 1.1806 - 1.099 = 0.0816
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 1.099 - 1.0715 = 0.0275
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0275 / 0.0816 = 0.337

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.0715
            [entry_price] => 1.099
            [stop_loss] => 1.18876
            [rr_ratio] => 0.31
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-07-31 20:05:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.0715
            [entry_price] => 1.099
            [stop_loss] => 1.19692
            [rr_ratio] => 0.28
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-07-31 20:05:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.0715
            [entry_price] => 1.099
            [stop_loss] => 1.20508
            [rr_ratio] => 0.26
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-07-31 20:05:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.0715
            [entry_price] => 1.099
            [stop_loss] => 1.2214
            [rr_ratio] => 0.22
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-07-31 20:05:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 1.2h) Initial Risk: -7.425% (0.0816)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.073%	0.0R	-3.003%	0.4R	0.0×	12
1.2h ★	+0.073%	0.0R	-3.003%	0.4R	0.0×	13
2h	+0.073%	0.0R	-3.003%	0.4R	0.0×	24
4h	+2.584%	0.4R	-3.003%	0.4R	0.9×	48
8h	+4.486%	0.6R	-3.003%	0.4R	1.5×	96
12h	+4.486%	0.6R	-3.003%	0.4R	1.5×	144

computed 2 months ago

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