Short Trade on kBONK (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 103199.17 kBONK at 0.00277$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0027 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002847 (2.82 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 12:10:05
hyperliquid
kBONK
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 12:10
→ 12:20
· 9 minutes
Position
Entry 0.002769$
Qty 103199.1744 kBONK
Size 285.7585$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.0027 (+2.49%)
TP $ 7.12$
SL 0.002847 (-2.82%)
SL $ 8.05$
RR 0.88
Status
loss
PnL
-0.04%
/ -0.1$
MAE -1.63%
MFE +0.36%
0.1R
expires
31 Jul 12:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=25 <= threshold=34/44
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 54685)
#25 / 44
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 12:00
score du 31/07/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3816
Quality Score
0.501
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#25 / 44
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#25 / 44
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.54×ATR |
| 4h | near | -2.41×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 12:01
31/07 12:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/07 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 31/07 11:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1192
range
ranging
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
31/07 12:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.5010
Score SMA
0.4804
Rank
#25
/ 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3816
Rank Norm SMA
0.2767
Calculé le
31/07/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3463 | r1h: 0.108% · r4h: -0.252% · r1d: -4.28% · r3d: -7.60% · ema21_slope: -0.2454% · dist_ema21: -2.141% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4641 | rs_1h: -0.008% · rs_4h: 1.362% · rs_1d: -1.27% · rs_3d: -5.77% · beta_24h: 0.346 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3059 | rvol_20: 0.64× · zscore_50: -0.346 · trend: 29.92% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7994 | ADX: 35.9 (trend) · Chop: 33.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.168% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -2.817%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.361% | 0.1R | -1.589% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.361% | 0.1R | -1.625% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.361% | 0.1R | -1.625% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.361% | 0.1R | -1.661% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.361% | 0.1R | -3.178% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.32
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | 0.68 | bear_high | -5.56% | -1.00 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | near -2.4ATR | — | 0.58 | bear_high_confirmed | -2.54% | -0.57 | 31/07 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | near -1.5ATR | — | 0.47 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.28% | -0.27 | 31/07 11:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
52%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near -1.0ATR | near 0.4ATR | — | bear_low | -1.90% | +0.10 | 31/07 11:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 27b | — | 9.159×ATR | p79 | -0.755×ATR | p70 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 4.421×ATR | p75 | -1.338×ATR | p86 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 14b | — | 5.712×ATR | p96 | -0.622×ATR | p59 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.077×ATR | p27 | -0.187×ATR | p15 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.00284652
- tp_price: 0.00269978
- atr: 3.101E-5
- expires_at: 2026-07-31T22:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 39
- total: 44
- score: 0.3463
- delta_2h: -0.0174
- extension_atr: -1.78
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3816
- confidence: 0.884
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002769 | 0.002847 | 0.0027 | 0.88 | 0.002927 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002769
- Stop Loss: 0.002847
- Take Profit: 0.0027
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002847 - 0.002769 = 7.8E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002769 - 0.0027 = 6.9E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 6.9E-5 / 7.8E-5 = 0.8846
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 285.7585 | 100 | 103199.1744 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 7.8E-5
Taille de position = 8 / 7.8E-5 = 102564.1
Taille de position USD = 102564.1 x 0.002769 = 284
Donc, tu peux acheter 102564.1 avec un stoploss a 0.002847
Avec un position size USD de 284$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 102564.1 x 7.8E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 102564.1 x 6.9E-5 = 7.08
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.08$
Résumé
- Taille de position 102564.1
- Taille de position USD 284
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 7.08
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8846
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 7.12 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.82 % | 8.05 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.1 $ | -0.04 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0722 % | 2.56 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002769 | 0.002847 | 0.0027 | 0.88 | 0.002927 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002769
- Stop Loss: 0.002847
- Take Profit: 0.0027
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002847 - 0.002769 = 7.8E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002769 - 0.0027 = 6.9E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 6.9E-5 / 7.8E-5 = 0.8846
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -2.817%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.361% | 0.1R | -1.589% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.361% | 0.1R | -1.625% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.361% | 0.1R | -1.625% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.361% | 0.1R | -1.661% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.361% | 0.1R | -3.178% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.