Long Trade on PUMP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 72621.64 PUMP at 0.00211$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002388 (13.01 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002003 (5.21 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 12:10:29
hyperliquid
PUMP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 12:10
→ 00:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.002113$
Qty 72621.6412 PUMP
Size 153.4495$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002388 (+13.01%)
TP $ 19.97$
SL 0.002003 (-5.21%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+3.36%
/ +5.16$
MAE -4.21%
MFE +3.45%
0.7R
expires
01 Aug 00:10
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 54697)
#1 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 12:00
score du 31/07/2026 12:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8965
Quality Score
0.725
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.21 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+5
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.21 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.63×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.90×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.40×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
19.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 12:02
31/07 12:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 31/07 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 31/07 11:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1192
range
ranging
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
-1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
31/07 12:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.7246
Score SMA
0.5882
Rank
#1
/ 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8965
Rank Norm SMA
0.8218
Calculé le
31/07/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6189 | r1h: -2.467% · r4h: 1.883% · r1d: 4.15% · r3d: 0.73% · ema21_slope: 0.1689% · dist_ema21: 2.216% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5762 | rs_1h: -2.583% · rs_4h: 3.497% · rs_1d: 7.17% · rs_3d: 2.56% · beta_24h: -1.044 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8922 | rvol_20: 2.82× · zscore_50: 1.811 · trend: 126.33% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7763 | ADX: 40.6 (trend) · Chop: 45.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.261% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.206%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.508% | 0.5R | -0.047% | 0.0R | 53.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.556% | 0.5R | -0.047% | 0.0R | 54.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.556% | 0.5R | -0.663% | 0.1R | 3.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.556% | 0.5R | -4.212% | 0.8R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.455% | 0.7R | -4.212% | 0.8R | 0.8× | 143 |
| 24h | +6.436% | 1.2R | -4.212% | 0.8R | 1.5× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.51
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.61 | bear_high | -5.56% | +1.00 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 34% | late | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.51 | bear_high_confirmed | -2.54% | +0.15 | 31/07 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | 0.28 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.28% | +0.56 | 31/07 11:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.39 | bear_low | -1.90% | +0.35 | 31/07 11:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 17b | — | 4.046×ATR | p65 | +0.408×ATR | p48 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 10b | — | 3.651×ATR | p56 | +1.246×ATR | p91 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 2.568×ATR | p63 | +0.98×ATR | p82 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.128×ATR | p17 | -0.291×ATR | p32 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7662
- reason: up_bo width=1.52×ATR dur=24b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)
- stop_price: 0.00200284
- tp_price: 0.0023884
- atr:
- score: 0.69620164613877
- expires_at: 2026-08-01T04:10:21.814609
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.69620164613877
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.211
- obi_top10 : 0.1428
- micro_price : 0.00212245
- spread_pct : 0.094295
- mid_price : 0.002122
- bid_wall_price : 0.00211
- bid_wall_size : 79930930.6
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.00213
- ask_wall_size : 40485557
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.2053
- obi_top5_std : 0.0353
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6986
- aggregation_tick : 1.0E-5
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.002043
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.001972
- balance_zone_mid:
0.0020075
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785430800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785513600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.5237
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
24
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.6962
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785506400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.002043
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8333
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.5023
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 4.66E-5 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
24
inside_close_ratio
0.8333
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
1.5023
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:10 | 0.00211300 | 0% |
| 2 | 12:16 | 0.00211300 | 0% |
| 3 | 12:22 | 0.00213200 | +0.899% |
| 4 | 12:27 | 0.00213200 | +0.899% |
| 5 | 12:34 | 0.00213200 | +0.899% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6986ms
Confidence avant OB :
70%
→
77%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.211
avg 0.205
± 0.035
OBI Top 10
0.143
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0021
Micro Price
0.0021
Spread
0.0943%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0021
Size
79,930,930.60
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0021
Size
40,485,557.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002113 | 0.002003 | 0.002388 | 2.5 | 0.004105 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002113
- Stop Loss: 0.002003
- Take Profit: 0.002388
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002003 - 0.002113 = -0.00011
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002113 - 0.002388 = -0.000275
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000275 / -0.00011 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 153.4495 | 100 | 72621.6412 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00011
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00011 = -72727.27
Taille de position USD = -72727.27 x 0.002113 = -153.67
Donc, tu peux acheter -72727.27 avec un stoploss a 0.002003
Avec un position size USD de -153.67$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -72727.27 x -0.00011 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -72727.27 x -0.000275 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -72727.27
- Taille de position USD -153.67
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 13.01 % | 19.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.21 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 5.16 $ | 3.36 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.212 % | 80.91 % | 25 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002113 | 0.002003 | 0.002388 | 2.5 | 0.004105 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002113
- Stop Loss: 0.002003
- Take Profit: 0.002388
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002003 - 0.002113 = -0.00011
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002113 - 0.002388 = -0.000275
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000275 / -0.00011 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.206%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.508% | 0.5R | -0.047% | 0.0R | 53.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.556% | 0.5R | -0.047% | 0.0R | 54.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.556% | 0.5R | -0.663% | 0.1R | 3.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.556% | 0.5R | -4.212% | 0.8R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.455% | 0.7R | -4.212% | 0.8R | 0.8× | 143 |
| 24h | +6.436% | 1.2R | -4.212% | 0.8R | 1.5× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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