Short Trade on WLD (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1035.6 WLD at 0.3$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2806 (6.44 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3077 (2.6 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 16:08:45
hyperliquid
WLD
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 16:08
→ 00:40
· 8 hours
Position
Entry 0.2999$
Qty 1035.5974 WLD
Size 310.6274$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2806 (+6.44%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 0.3077 (-2.6%)
SL $ 8.08$
RR 2.47
Status
loss
PnL
-2.60%
/ -8.08$
MAE -3.16%
MFE +0.89%
0.3R
expires
01 Aug 04:08
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 54861)
#45 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 16:00
score du 31/07/2026 16:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0741
Quality Score
0.429
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#45 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.60 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#45 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
83 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.60 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.23×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 2.02×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
5.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 16:00
31/07 16:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/07 15:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1196
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.53
Snapshot évalué :
31/07 16:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4286
Score SMA
0.4615
Rank
#45
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0741
Rank Norm SMA
0.1557
Calculé le
31/07/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3662 | r1h: -1.086% · r4h: -1.141% · r1d: -3.31% · r3d: -5.83% · ema21_slope: -0.0632% · dist_ema21: -1.646% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3860 | rs_1h: -0.918% · rs_4h: -1.556% · rs_1d: -0.53% · rs_3d: -4.41% · beta_24h: 0.530 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2828 | rvol_20: 0.99× · zscore_50: -0.245 · trend: -34.43% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4380 | ADX: 10.3 (weak) · Chop: 56.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.385% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.601%
(0.0078)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.890% | 0.3R | -0.163% | 0.1R | 5.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.890% | 0.3R | -0.163% | 0.1R | 5.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.890% | 0.3R | -0.470% | 0.2R | 1.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.890% | 0.3R | -2.461% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.890% | 0.3R | -3.164% | 1.2R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.337% | 0.5R | -3.578% | 1.4R | 0.4× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 4.28
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.52 | bear_high | -6.38% | -0.99 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.43 | bear_high_confirmed | -1.90% | -0.48 | 31/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | near -1.2ATR | — | 0.51 | bear_medium | -1.79% | +0.08 | 31/07 15:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_medium_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | near -2.1ATR | — | — | bear_low | -1.14% | -0.20 | 31/07 15:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 44b | — | 14.466×ATR | p94 | -0.986×ATR | p79 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 1.049×ATR | p0 | -0.41×ATR | p42 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 1.674×ATR | p9 | -0.874×ATR | p76 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 3.494×ATR | p69 | -1.443×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8317
- reason: down_bo width=2.68×ATR dur=53b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.30767501
- tp_price: 0.28063748
- atr:
- score: 0.8317129749078
- expires_at: 2026-08-01T08:08:37.762856
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.8317129749078
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0347
- obi_top10 : 0.1308
- micro_price : 0.29956951
- spread_pct : 0.033389
- mid_price : 0.29955
- bid_wall_price : 0.298
- bid_wall_size : 1737378.6
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.3
- ask_wall_size : 1308704
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.023
- obi_top5_std : 0.0116
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6973
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.31254
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.302025
- balance_zone_mid:
0.3072825
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785340800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785528000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.6789
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
53
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8317
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785524400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.302025
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9245
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.5287
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
3
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00392508 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
53
inside_close_ratio
0.9245
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.5287
Signaux confirmants (45)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:08 | 0.29995000 | +0.017% |
| 2 | 16:14 | 0.29995000 | +0.017% |
| 3 | 16:20 | 0.29902000 | -0.293% |
| 4 | 16:26 | 0.29902000 | -0.293% |
| 5 | 16:33 | 0.29902000 | -0.293% |
| 6 | 16:38 | 0.30034000 | +0.147% |
| 7 | 16:44 | 0.30034000 | +0.147% |
| 8 | 16:50 | 0.29985000 | -0.017% |
| 9 | 16:56 | 0.29985000 | -0.017% |
| 10 | 17:03 | 0.29985000 | -0.017% |
| 11 | 17:08 | 0.29842000 | -0.493% |
| 12 | 17:14 | 0.29842000 | -0.493% |
| 13 | 17:20 | 0.29986000 | -0.013% |
| 14 | 17:26 | 0.29986000 | -0.013% |
| 15 | 17:33 | 0.29986000 | -0.013% |
| 16 | 17:38 | 0.29913000 | -0.257% |
| 17 | 17:44 | 0.29913000 | -0.257% |
| 18 | 17:50 | 0.29959000 | -0.103% |
| 19 | 17:56 | 0.29959000 | -0.103% |
| 20 | 18:03 | 0.29959000 | -0.103% |
| 21 | 18:09 | 0.29951000 | -0.13% |
| 22 | 18:14 | 0.29951000 | -0.13% |
| 23 | 18:20 | 0.29964000 | -0.087% |
| 24 | 18:26 | 0.29964000 | -0.087% |
| 25 | 18:33 | 0.29964000 | -0.087% |
| 26 | 18:38 | 0.29995000 | +0.017% |
| 27 | 18:44 | 0.29995000 | +0.017% |
| 28 | 18:50 | 0.29929000 | -0.203% |
| 29 | 18:56 | 0.29929000 | -0.203% |
| 30 | 19:03 | 0.29929000 | -0.203% |
| 31 | 19:08 | 0.29928000 | -0.207% |
| 32 | 19:14 | 0.29928000 | -0.207% |
| 33 | 19:20 | 0.29886000 | -0.347% |
| 34 | 19:26 | 0.29886000 | -0.347% |
| 35 | 19:32 | 0.29886000 | -0.347% |
| 36 | 19:38 | 0.29956000 | -0.113% |
| 37 | 19:44 | 0.29956000 | -0.113% |
| 38 | 19:50 | 0.29924000 | -0.22% |
| 39 | 19:56 | 0.29924000 | -0.22% |
| 40 | 20:03 | 0.29924000 | -0.22% |
| 41 | 20:20 | 0.30160000 | +0.567% |
| 42 | 20:26 | 0.30160000 | +0.567% |
| 43 | 20:32 | 0.30160000 | +0.567% |
| 44 | 20:38 | 0.30050000 | +0.2% |
| 45 | 20:44 | 0.30050000 | +0.2% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6973ms
Confidence avant OB :
83%
→
83%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.035
avg 0.023
± 0.012
OBI Top 10
0.131
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.2996
Micro Price
0.2996
Spread
0.0334%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.2980
Size
1,737,378.60
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.3000
Size
1,308,704.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2999 | 0.3077 | 0.2806 | 2.47 | 0.4099 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2999
- Stop Loss: 0.3077
- Take Profit: 0.2806
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3077 - 0.2999 = 0.0078
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2999 - 0.2806 = 0.0193
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0193 / 0.0078 = 2.4744
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 310.6274 | 100 | 1035.5974 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0078
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0078 = 1025.64
Taille de position USD = 1025.64 x 0.2999 = 307.59
Donc, tu peux acheter 1025.64 avec un stoploss a 0.3077
Avec un position size USD de 307.59$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1025.64 x 0.0078 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1025.64 x 0.0193 = 19.79
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.79$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1025.64
- Taille de position USD 307.59
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.79
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4744
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.44 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.6 % | 8.08 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.08 $ | -2.60 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.7109 % | 104.23 % | 14 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2999 | 0.3077 | 0.2806 | 2.47 | 0.4099 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2999
- Stop Loss: 0.3077
- Take Profit: 0.2806
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3077 - 0.2999 = 0.0078
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2999 - 0.2806 = 0.0193
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0193 / 0.0078 = 2.4744
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.601%
(0.0078)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.890% | 0.3R | -0.163% | 0.1R | 5.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.890% | 0.3R | -0.163% | 0.1R | 5.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.890% | 0.3R | -0.470% | 0.2R | 1.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.890% | 0.3R | -2.461% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.890% | 0.3R | -3.164% | 1.2R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.337% | 0.5R | -3.578% | 1.4R | 0.4× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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