Long Trade on NEAR (CatchTheWave)
With 951.59 NEAR at 1.68$ per unit. Take profit: 1.6971 (1 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6719 (0.5 %)
Long Trade on NEAR (CatchTheWave)
With 951.59 NEAR at 1.68$ per unit. Take profit: 1.6971 (1 %) & Stop Loss: 1.6719 (0.5 %)
Position
Entry 1.6803$
Qty 951.588 NEAR
Size 1598.9533$ (margin 100$) (leverage 16)
Risk Setup
TP 1.6971 (+1%)
TP $ 15.99$
SL 1.6719 (-0.5%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8935
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 6.87×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 11.88×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.41×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 31/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 31/07 15:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.337377 15m : 0.266701 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5596 | r1h: -0.623% · r4h: 1.592% · r1d: 0.14% · r3d: 3.05% · ema21_slope: 0.0620% · dist_ema21: 1.307% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5794 | rs_1h: -0.455% · rs_4h: 1.177% · rs_1d: 2.93% · rs_3d: 4.47% · beta_24h: 0.851 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2251 | rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: -0.616 · trend: -3.23% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6398 | ADX: 23.9 (weak) · Chop: 45.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.208% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.625% | 1.3R | -0.649% | 1.3R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.625% | 1.3R | -1.351% | 2.7R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.625% | 1.3R | -1.399% | 2.8R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.625% | 1.3R | -1.399% | 2.8R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.625% | 1.3R | -1.399% | 2.8R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.58 | bear_high | -6.38% | -0.69 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.62 | bear_high_confirmed | -1.90% | +0.28 | 31/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | — | — | 0.57 | bear_medium | -1.79% | +0.35 | 31/07 15:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium |
66%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | — | bear_low | -1.14% | +0.11 | 31/07 15:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 16b | — | 3.803×ATR | p40 | -0.418×ATR | p44 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 14b | — | 3.416×ATR | p48 | +0.916×ATR | p76 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.208×ATR | p53 | +0.484×ATR | p46 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 0.506×ATR | p0 | -0.309×ATR | p29 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63115.6
-0.00300427
62926
0.337377
63733.1
-0.0126647
62926
0.266701
64113.4
-0.0180215
62958
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1
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1.2431
0.3233
0.2842
0.74
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0.4572
0.4931
0.3299
0.3976
-8.8661
5.8522
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:09 | 1.68030000 | 0% |
| 2 | 16:15 | 1.68070000 | +0.024% |
| 3 | 16:45 | 1.67670000 | -0.214% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 14:20:00 | 1.6911 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:55:00 | 1.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 15:20:00 | 1.6797 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 15:40:00 | 1.6463 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 17:20:00 | 1.7095 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 17:40:00 | 1.6849 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 18:05:00 | 1.7093 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 18:35:00 | 1.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 19:00:00 | 1.7052 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 20:05:00 | 1.6797 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 04:00:00 | 1.6536 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 04:45:00 | 1.6405 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 06:30:00 | 1.6668 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 07:15:00 | 1.6423 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 10:00:00 | 1.6337 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 12:00:00 | 1.6359 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 14:15:00 | 1.6911 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 15:30:00 | 1.6463 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 17:15:00 | 1.7095 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 20:00:00 | 1.6797 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 13:00:00 | 1.621 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 00:00:00 | 1.667 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 11:00:00 | 1.5693 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 1.6404 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 1.5721 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 10:00:00 | 1.6718 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 20:00:00 | 1.6974 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 02:00:00 | 1.635 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 10:00:00 | 1.6337 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 17:00:00 | 1.7095 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6803 | 1.6719 | 1.6971 | 2 | 4.3109 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6719 - 1.6803 = -0.0084
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6803 - 1.6971 = -0.0168
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0168 / -0.0084 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1598.9533 | 100 | 951.588 | 16.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0084 = -952.38
Taille de position USD = -952.38 x 1.6803 = -1600.28
Donc, tu peux acheter -952.38 avec un stoploss a 1.6719
Avec un position size USD de -1600.28$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -952.38 x -0.0084 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -952.38 x -0.0168 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.5 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -0.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6487 % | 129.77 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6803 | 1.6719 | 1.6971 | 2 | 4.3109 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.6719 - 1.6803 = -0.0084
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.6803 - 1.6971 = -0.0168
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0168 / -0.0084 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.625% | 1.3R | -0.649% | 1.3R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.625% | 1.3R | -1.351% | 2.7R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.625% | 1.3R | -1.399% | 2.8R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.625% | 1.3R | -1.399% | 2.8R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.625% | 1.3R | -1.399% | 2.8R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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