Short Trade on ZEC (BosPullback)
With 1.14 ZEC at 457.14$ per unit. Take profit: 439.6439 (3.83 %) & Stop Loss: 464.1385 (1.53 %)
Short Trade on ZEC (BosPullback)
With 1.14 ZEC at 457.14$ per unit. Take profit: 439.6439 (3.83 %) & Stop Loss: 464.1385 (1.53 %)
Position
Entry 457.14$
Qty 1.1431 ZEC
Size 522.5611$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 439.6439 (+3.83%)
TP $ 20$
SL 464.1385 (-1.53%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2680
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.04×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.98×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/07 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/07 16:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4470 | r1h: -0.094% · r4h: 0.852% · r1d: -3.42% · r3d: -2.55% · ema21_slope: -0.1056% · dist_ema21: -0.594% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4949 | rs_1h: 0.074% · rs_4h: 0.437% · rs_1d: -0.63% · rs_3d: -1.13% · beta_24h: 1.113 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1885 | rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.717 · trend: -22.75% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4000 | ADX: 16.4 (weak) · Chop: 67.5 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.040% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.801% | 0.5R | -0.026% | 0.0R | 30.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.801% | 0.5R | -0.026% | 0.0R | 30.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.801% | 0.5R | -0.875% | 0.6R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.801% | 0.5R | -2.507% | 1.6R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.801% | 0.5R | -2.507% | 1.6R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | range_high |
32%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | — | — | 0.42 | bear_high | -6.38% | -0.71 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -2.02% | -0.29 | 31/07 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near -0.4ATR | 0.61 | bear_medium | -1.75% | -0.03 | 31/07 16:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.58 | bear_low | -1.04% | +0.03 | 31/07 16:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 16b | — | 3.995×ATR | p33 | -0.782×ATR | p69 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.155×ATR | p3 | -0.391×ATR | p39 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.227×ATR | p0 | -0.11×ATR | p11 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 11b | — | 2.846×ATR | p64 | -0.082×ATR | p9 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
452.15
143
0.2878
0.5147
0.3272
0.2413
0.3975
1
0.4867
0.3441
0.3235
0.3761
0.5237
0.1076
-0.0488
-0.0582
0
-0.5888
-1.548
0.4
0.6
-1
6
1
0.5174
0.2634
4.654
0.6
1.4398
2.3055
-1.548
0.7514
0.2027
0.18
0.1022
0.4935
0.39
0.8561
0.1076
-11.9289
1.4385
1
0
0
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452.15
463.74
463.74
452.15
463.74
455.69
459.715
0.5862
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:52 | 457.14000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 16:58 | 457.14000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 17:11 | 456.05000000 | -0.238% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 457.14 | 464.1385 | 439.6439 | 2.5 | 1249.2 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 464.1385 - 457.14 = 6.9985
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 457.14 - 439.6439 = 17.4961
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 17.4961 / 6.9985 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 522.5611 | 100 | 1.1431 | 5.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 6.9985 = 1.14
Taille de position USD = 1.14 x 457.14 = 521.14
Donc, tu peux acheter 1.14 avec un stoploss a 464.1385
Avec un position size USD de 521.14$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1.14 x 6.9985 = 7.98
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.98$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1.14 x 17.4961 = 19.95
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.95$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.83 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.53 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.53 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5969 % | 104.31 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 457.14 | 464.1385 | 439.6439 | 2.5 | 1249.2 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 464.1385 - 457.14 = 6.9985
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 457.14 - 439.6439 = 17.4961
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 17.4961 / 6.9985 = 2.5
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.801% | 0.5R | -0.026% | 0.0R | 30.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.801% | 0.5R | -0.026% | 0.0R | 30.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.801% | 0.5R | -0.875% | 0.6R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.801% | 0.5R | -2.507% | 1.6R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.801% | 0.5R | -2.507% | 1.6R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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