Long Trade on CFX (CatchTheWave)
With 37965.07 CFX at 0.0426$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04306 (0.98 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04243 (0.49 %)
Long Trade on CFX (CatchTheWave)
With 37965.07 CFX at 0.0426$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04306 (0.98 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04243 (0.49 %)
Position
Entry 0.04264$
Qty 37965.0721 CFX
Size 1618.7547$ (margin 100$) (leverage 16)
Risk Setup
TP 0.04306 (+0.98%)
TP $ 15.95$
SL 0.04243 (-0.49%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8201
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.65×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.31×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 9.05×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 31/07 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 31/07 16:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.215108 15m : 0.213866 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : range_low |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5572 | r1h: -0.070% · r4h: 0.328% · r1d: 4.52% · r3d: 1.28% · ema21_slope: 0.0638% · dist_ema21: 1.772% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6161 | rs_1h: 0.099% · rs_4h: -0.086% · rs_1d: 7.31% · rs_3d: 2.69% · beta_24h: 1.013 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1916 | rvol_20: 0.05× · zscore_50: -0.357 · trend: -38.45% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7428 | ADX: 39.1 (trend) · Chop: 48.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9601 | ATR%: 3.120% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.502% | 1.0R | -1.072% | 2.2R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.502% | 1.0R | -1.496% | 3.0R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.502% | 1.0R | -2.409% | 4.9R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.502% | 1.0R | -3.609% | 7.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.502% | 1.0R | -3.609% | 7.3R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | weak | fading | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
46%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near -1.8ATR | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -6.38% | -0.00 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.48 | bear_high | -2.02% | +0.27 | 31/07 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.30 | bear_medium | -1.75% | +0.55 | 31/07 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near -0.1ATR | — | bear_low | -1.05% | +0.04 | 31/07 16:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 9b | — | 1.655×ATR | p0 | +0.087×ATR | p9 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.174×ATR | p0 | +0.391×ATR | p38 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.031×ATR | p31 | +0.11×ATR | p12 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 11b | — | 3.238×ATR | p50 | -0.094×ATR | p5 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63065.9
-0.00225121
62924
0.215108
63676.6
-0.0114117
62950
0.213866
64113.6
-0.0178533
62969
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0.040307
191
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0.0553
0.0288
1
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0.6336
0.25
0.75
-1
8
0.9474
0.4619
0.6741
7.0663
0.6
2.115
3.1945
0.6336
0.7373
0.1949
0.68
2.7426
0.6302
0.3864
0
0.2243
-7.5992
2.1969
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:55 | 0.04263800 | -0.005% |
| 2 | 17:26 | 0.04255200 | -0.206% |
| 3 | 17:32 | 0.04255900 | -0.19% |
| 4 | 17:38 | 0.04245200 | -0.441% |
| 5 | 17:44 | 0.04248300 | -0.368% |
| 6 | 17:50 | 0.04245500 | -0.434% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 0.041688 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 15:20:00 | 0.043227 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 15:40:00 | 0.042473 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 16:10:00 | 0.043039 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 17:05:00 | 0.041725 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 17:55:00 | 0.044263 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 18:40:00 | 0.042912 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 19:00:00 | 0.043223 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 19:35:00 | 0.043335 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 20:55:00 | 0.042539 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 01:00:00 | 0.041646 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 04:00:00 | 0.040152 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 05:00:00 | 0.052379 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 07:15:00 | 0.042925 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 09:00:00 | 0.045273 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 12:00:00 | 0.040307 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 15:15:00 | 0.043227 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 17:00:00 | 0.041725 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 17:45:00 | 0.044263 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 20:45:00 | 0.04283 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 04:00:00 | 0.040844 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 12:00:00 | 0.041495 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 0.042391 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 0.04066 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 02:00:00 | 0.042163 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 13:00:00 | 0.040703 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 04:00:00 | 0.040152 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 05:00:00 | 0.052379 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 12:00:00 | 0.040307 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 17:00:00 | 0.044263 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04264 | 0.04243 | 0.04306 | 2 | 0.0455 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04243 - 0.04264 = -0.00020999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04264 - 0.04306 = -0.00042
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00042 / -0.00020999999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1618.7547 | 100 | 37965.0721 | 16.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00020999999999999 = -38095.24
Taille de position USD = -38095.24 x 0.04264 = -1624.38
Donc, tu peux acheter -38095.24 avec un stoploss a 0.04243
Avec un position size USD de -1624.38$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -38095.24 x -0.00020999999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -38095.24 x -0.00042 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.98 % | 15.95 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.49 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.97 $ | -0.49 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4972 % | 100.95 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.04264 | 0.04243 | 0.04306 | 2 | 0.0455 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04243 - 0.04264 = -0.00020999999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.04264 - 0.04306 = -0.00042
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00042 / -0.00020999999999999 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.502% | 1.0R | -1.072% | 2.2R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.502% | 1.0R | -1.496% | 3.0R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.502% | 1.0R | -2.409% | 4.9R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.502% | 1.0R | -3.609% | 7.3R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.502% | 1.0R | -3.609% | 7.3R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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